Question Of The Month – February, 2010
What You Need to Know About ACTIVE VS.
PASSIVE Investing?
The active vs. index debate continues. Actively managed stock
mutual funds rebounded in 2009, ending slightly ahead of passively
managed index funds. However, that small gain was barely enough to
make up for their dismal showing in 2008.
According to investment-research firm Morningstar, active U.S. stock
funds were up an average 32.8% last year over all, compared with
index funds' 31.7%. However, during the market's brisk rebound from
its March 2009 lows, index funds took the lead, surging 82% as
active funds jumped 73%.
Over the past 15 years, about 60% of the mutual funds that invest in
blue-chip stocks failed to beat the S%P 500 index (frequently cited
as a proxy for “the market). And that counts only the funds which
performed well enough to survive those 15 years. Many didn’t.
Scott Burns, director of ETF research for Morningstar, says the
decision to buy an index fund isn't "saying that you can't beat the
market. It's just saying you don't know who will beat the market and
that you'd rather keep costs low and have the average rather than
risk picking a stud or a dud."
When you choose between actively managed and index funds, you need
to keep five things to keep in mind.
#1: A Good Run Will Not Last Forever.
Bill Thatcher, a senior consultant at research and consulting firm
Hammond Associates in St. Louis, states that "Top-tier active
managers with long-term benchmark outperformance almost inevitably
have periods of three years or more where they underperform."
Some of the winners over the past decade lost big time in late 2008
and early 2009.
After beating the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index for 15 years,
Bill Miller, Portfolio Manager of the Legg Mason Capital Management
Value Fund, was down 55% for 2008, while the S&P 500 fell 37%. The
fund ended 2009 up 41%, but lost more than 67% from the market peak
in October 2007 through February 2009.
A $10,000 investment 15 years ago would be worth about $36,173
today. But anyone who jumped in with $10,000 around the peak of the
market in October 2007 would have just $5,734.
John Bogle, founder of mutual-fund giant Vanguard Group and a
champion of low-cost index funds says that "Yesterday's winners are
far more likely to be tomorrow's losers.”
Michael Mauboussin, chief investment strategist for Legg Mason
Capital Management, says, "When you see streaks in investing, it's
luck and skill combined." Bad luck played a role in the fund's 2008
performance, he says, just as skill played a role in its rebound
last year.
#2: Expense Ratios Vary Widely.
Both types of funds have an “expense ratio” -- reflecting fees to
pay for everything from administrative costs to the portfolio
manager. It's expressed as an annual percentage of fund assets, and
can range from under 0.1% for an open-end index fund to more than 2%
for some actively managed funds.
According to Morningstar, on the whole, the expense ratios for
actively managed funds are significantly higher than for index
funds, with the average being 1.4% for the former and 0.9% for the
latter.
#3: Additional Fees Can Add Up.
Then there are transaction and trading costs. These are more likely
to be higher for an actively managed fund, which typically does more
trading than an index fund. Dan Culloton, associate director of
fund analysis at Morningstar states that they average about 1.4% or
1.6% on top of the published expense ratio.
In addition, some funds charge a commission, called a "load," either
when you initially invest in the fund or when you cash out your
investment.
Thatcher adds "Actively managed funds' costs are higher than index
funds' costs. On the whole, active funds' higher costs do not buy
you better performance."
#4: Short-Term Gains Can Be Taxing.
Stephen Horan, head of professional education content and private
wealth at CFA Institute, a nonprofit association of investment
professionals says that actively managed funds trade more
frequently, so many of the gains tend to be short term. And
short-term gains are taxed as ordinary income, with rates as high as
35%.
Horan adds that index funds, on the other hand, tend to buy and sell
less frequently and more of their gains are long term, and, thus,
subject to the lower capital-gains rate, a maximum 15%.
#5: If It Acts Like an Indexer...
Culloton adds that we should watch out for closet indexers --
actively managed funds that mimic an index -- especially if they are
charging high fees. If a fund is never too far ahead or behind its
benchmark index and its correlation is really high with that index
that could be a sign of a closet indexer. Also, does a fund have
hundreds of stocks in rather small positions or do its holdings look
the same as the index but slightly rearranged, he asks.
Why are investors shooting themselves in the wallet? The expensive
funds are pricier in part because they’re sold through financial
advisers, a portion of whose compensation is built into the funds’
fees—and a lot of advisers saw their business tick up during the
crash. Some say that many investors are making a conscious decision
to pay for advice.
"If you find a fund that's got all of these traits and it's charging
one percent or more, you have to ask yourself why."
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